@1bets, have you given up?

for 22 jan, tom: (hope the rain will stop, but most of those are indoors)

The plan for the 21st was the same as for the 20th. The garage has been partially decluttered.

Today’s weather is extreme, so I won’t be able to work on the tree house at all.

Over the last few days, I’ve completed almost all my tasks except for paperwork and deorganizing/sorting. Sometimes it is not posible to accuratelly predict the next day's priorities.

I even washed all the dishes a week ago, worked in the garden few days in a row, planted peppers, seeds and moved the soil.

However, the paperwork is stuck (got other priorities), aside from a few minor letters.

Organizing was also on hold because I’ve been focusing on the declattering of filled boxes instead

@1bets Previous excuse: too hot.
Current excuse: rain.
You must print tomorrow’s before midnight.

printing

@1bets , how does this resolve? Or will nothing resolve until rainy is back ?

@Velaris until rainy in unbanned, it's unclear how to resolve

@1bets dealing with the bans now, rainy will be unbanned as a result of that. Bans will return if there is any abuse, and I will keep close tabs on you guys. Feel free to contact me if you ever want to check if something strange you have planned is going to be perceived as abuse.

@Gen I’m doing as much as I can in the background, but ADHD is a really hard condition when it comes to being consistent. Consistency is what I’m trying to achieve now, and it would be great if speedy resolutions in the mornings were possible.

Complete. Just 4 pages paperwork raw.

will need more work on that, lik level 8. Probably on Tuesday.

11 Jan resolve YES

@mods 11 Jan - Resolves yes

@1bets are you still doing it?

@Velaris yes, but fast resolving is postponed by until rainy is unbanned

@1bets Is it still being resolved though?

@Velaris unreliable till now, it was designed for rainy resolving it at early morning every day

@1bets I know but lately you've been tagging the moderators, will you continue to?

Task List: 12 January 2026

Physical Activity (Max: 7 points)

• 1,000 steps (minimum) — 1 point

• 23 pull-ups (at once) — 1 point

• 55 push-ups (at once) — 2 points

• 30 abs / core exercises — 1 point

• 33 squats (daily) — 2 points

Subtotal (Physical): 7 points

Household / Organization & Tasks (Max: 17 points)

• Sort out and organize ~3 square meters of wardrobe room — 3 points

• Find and place 3 long timber planks onto the tree house structure — 4 points

• Plant spicy peppers and move soil in the garden to create a good growing area — 4 points

• Prepare official request and supporting statement — 6 points

Subtotal ( Tasks): 17 points

🔢 Points Summary

• Physical activity: 7 points

• Household / Organization & Tasks: 17 points

🎯 Total Possible Points: 24 points

@1bets

current situation:

FYI for traders, trade with caution. It's a personal goals market, and we have no way to verify the results. Additionally: resolutions are preliminary while I consider further disciplinary action which may include N/Aing the market.

@Gen if anyone wants to volunteer to verify results I fully open.

Rainy is not me , but I am allowed to use his computer to switch on wifi or use email. Not his personal, that's how I can't.

Please unban Rainy, .. market is not for earning mana . It designed the way that I am loosing mana here.

Chances for no are high, I can't bet no

@Gen I transferred mana to Rainy to make it possible to launch this ADHD market. Rainy didn't had enough MANA.

I initially transferred @SupportYou about 18k mana mine and rainy about 2k mana. As account was banned suddenly, I proceed with transfered as Rainy agreed to use that for easy resolutions.

Appeared I would need to transfer MANA directly to Rainy - so by DM - but it eas not agreed initially.

I already pleaded guilty to that transfer of my mana to @SupportYou and from there to rainy. There were no other transfers or illicit actions on markets. I used the Trump Covfefe market to transfer mana to Rainy from his account Support You - it happened only once and was very risky, as bots could have stolen everything. It was the only possible way as you banned SupportYou, I was not aware of that .

There was no profit from any of these transfers.

I used this method because the support-ypu account appeared to be banned and I was unable to send mana directly. Also appeated that Banned accounts cannot create markets, which is why the funds were later moved to Rainy. The market for transfer was Trump - as a one resolving within 1day. Ban was unjustified, no warning given. SupportYou account is deleted by owner.

Rainy had prior experience creating markets, and he is fully able to create and resolve markets without my involvement. This transfer was done solely to launch the motivation market.

The ADHD market is about motivation and treating my condition, not earning mana.

SupportYou was Rainy’s account. When it appeared blocked, I become involved in and transferred mana to Rainy using the Trump market - it eas only possible but a risky method because SupportYou couldn’t transfer mana directly.

Trump’s market resolved within a day, making it a good option. There was no profit from any of these transfers. I was unaware that banned accounts cannot create markets.

Rainy is not me; I only have access to his computer when he is home, and I do not know his password. He is able to act independently.

None of Rainy’s accounts had enough mana. He probably had two or three accounts, but none of them were created for illicit purposes. When logging in from another device, new accounts can be created unintentionally. There is no account password, so these additional accounts were created by accident, not deliberately.

I did not manipulate profits or try to manipulate market resolutions. I may discuss outcomes with other account owners when they allow me, but they are able to act independently. The ADHD market was never about transfers; it’s a motivational tool.

The fine of 10k MANA is not warranted. I did not profit from any transfers. My goal is accurate prediction, truth, and motivation. I planned to collect mana for the ADHD market back in December and only obtained mana when bets were resolved in January. This activity is not a violation of rules.

@rainydays @mods ysterday - 9 January 2026 resolves yes

@mods please unban @rainydays - I believe was banned for the wrong reason.

It's essential for the person to be able to comment for clarifications and communication in this market.

Banned users cann't resolve the market

@1bets no, they are banned for adding liquidity to a market to inflate your profits and transfer you mana - and prior to that, benefitting from the same scheme led by @SupportYou; as did you.

We have ban changes coming soon to make more targeted bans with more effective punishments and better communication to the banned persons. You and all related accounts will be suspended until you are honest about your manipulation and alt account abuse, and decide which ONE account you want to use.

You need to take the fact you’re allowed to participate right now as a blessing, be thoughtful and deliberate with any comments you make, and do not make requests from the mods.

I’m fining you m10k now as a spot fine to be later adjusted (upwards) and if you do any further mana transfers between your own accounts or ANY dodgy trades that raise suspicion, you will be blanket banned preemptively before we have the new changes to make things more targeted

@Gen how this market may possibly increase my profits?

There are more chances for NO on a long term.

I am not allowed to bet NO.

I am designed to loose at this market

@1bets This market is only being allowed to continue because it's personal and if it's unranked I think you should be allowed to play it out.

I messaged the @MyDreamIsHere2018 account in the past to discuss your situation, those of you who are living together need to be upfront with me and explain your situation in DM's, otherwise all of the accounts are going to be treated as 1 person. You also need to be upfront about the accounts which you have made purely to manipulate and profit transfer - it would go a long way towards making me believe there are really more than one of you.

If you choose not to, you all get banned. It's pretty simple. The preliminary punishments are just to minimise damage and still give you an opportunity to participate and demonstrate you can do so without breaking rules

@Gen @pureprofit is bound by an agreement with @realDonaldTrump -

In March, he will receive 25% of the total value. Pleae do not ban that to avoid blocking payments.

That account was created by my friend, but he has since abandoned Manifold. We share the same Google account for a paid ChatGPT subscription.

His name is [dm]; he lives in Saint Petersburg.

He is not interested in Manifold, as there is no real profit there.

I am playing on his behalf because we share the same [dm] account for the ChatGPT subscription.

I am not gaining anyprofit from that, just follow the agreement with @realDonaldTrump keeping the funds invested.

My friend has exact the same access to @pureprofit as me. We share the passwords for email [dm]

@Gen have already pleaded guilty to transferring mana to Rainy in order to launch this ADHD market. There were no other transfers and no adding of mana probably.

I also plead guilty to using the Trump Covfefe market to transfer mana to Rainy. This happened only once and was a risky move, as bots could have taken everything in the process.

I used this method because his "support-you" account appeared to be banned and I was unable to send mana directly.account is deleted now..

Banned accounts can’t create markets, which is why the funds were moved to Rainy. He had prior experience creating markets.

Rainy is fully able to create and resolve markets and without my involvement. I am allowed to use his computer. Because he is switching off wi fi overnight. And this single time transfer was done solely to launch the motivation market.

@1bets @Gen The agreement I made with @pureprofit says "If @pureprofit quits Manifold, he is to return the M2,500 immediately". You can read the full agreement here.

Since the account appears to be inactive, can you fine that user and send me M2500? Thanks

@realDonaldTrump p Actually, that email ID is in use - we are both using same ChatGPT subscription.

I may be able and like to return the mana ypu invested in them, as you wish; it would make things less of a headache.

The account hasn’t been quit; it is temporarily inactive. There are long-term investments in it.

Thank you for your response. I may be able to send you 2,500 mana from that account as I continue monitoring it daily.

If Manifold launches any bonuses, crypto, or other promotions, my crypto friend from Saint Petersburg will participate and bring their subscribers as well. They are great in Ico or tokem launch predictions, meta and so on. I am not as qualified.

They have not quit - they are just waiting.