Self Resolving: Did Trump win the election in 2020?
17
Ṁ170Ṁ6.4kresolved Dec 29
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to yes if % >= 50 on close, otherwise no.
PLEASE NOTE: I will resolve based on the current price at a random time in a 24h period before the end date to reduce manipulation. The random stopping idea is from this paper - https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.04305
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ103 | |
| 2 | Ṁ13 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ12 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
Sort by:
More self resolving fun (look for the "q" user): https://manifold.markets/browse?topic=selfresolving