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MANIFOLD
Will Project VIGIL's binary status shift before December 31, 2026
1
Ṁ100Ṁ3
Dec 30
50%
chance

This market tracks the operational ledger of Project VIGIL (https://project-vigil.com).

Project VIGIL is a piece of conceptual software monitoring a single unstated event at the center of global discourse. It maintains a strict binary posture: no probability, no speculation, no rumors, only a confirmed fact.

Resolution Criteria:

- Resolves to YES: If the primary ledger endpoint or official client flips from its default stasis state to confirmed/shifted (`statusShifted: true`) before December 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, corroborated by major news wire reporting (AP, Reuters).

- Resolves to NO: If the ledger remains in stasis through the expiration window, or if the underlying service becomes permanently unreachable.

- Oracle / Source: https://project-vigil.com/api/ledger (cross-verified with public wire services).

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