Will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance be invalidated by a court by end of 2029?

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Background

(Technically "Allegheny County’s" but no one knows or cares where Allegheny County is.) This is a thing that might affect me. Claude estimates this is ~25% by this market's cutoff date, ~35%-45% eventually.

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@/probajoelistic/will-a-legal-challenge-delay-the-ef@/probajoelistic/will-pittsburghs-paid-parental-leav

I or my bot may participate in this market especially if there is low outside participation. I may rely on an anonymized LLM query if resolution is not obvious.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (1 traders, as of Oct 23, 2026).

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