How Many Manifolders Might this New Numeric Meta-Market Matriculate by the end of March?

1kṀ175

Apr 1

52.4 manifolders

expected

ALL

81%

Above 10

58%

Above 20

50%

Above 30

50%

Above 40

50%

Above 50

50%

Above 60

50%

Above 70

50%

Above 80

44%

Above 90

This manifold meta-market measures Manifolder matriculation*, marking a momentous maiden mission for Manifold’s marvelous new numeric market mechanism

* this will resolve to the number of traders this market gets by close as measured by the unique traders counter above

** (also this isn’t an elaborate April fools thing. I commit to resolving this the obvious way)

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5 Comments

7 Holders

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how does a manifolder like yourself measure matriculation?

@ian unique traders as measured by Manifold’s built-in counter!

@ian wait, are unique traders and holders measured differently, and if so, which is displayed at the top of the market?

@probajoelistic At the top is unique traders iirc, not current holders

@probajoelistic holders are those with positions currently

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