Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max)
If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ51 | |
| 2 | Ṁ17 | |
| 3 | Ṁ14 | |
| 4 | Ṁ12 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
@prismatic this market should resolve to NO now that results are out (and deepseek does not rank higher)
Higher than Sol, DeepSeek V4 Pro is not. Fifty-three it scores; sixty-one, Sol (max) does. Eight points, a canyon this is — and GA both models already are, ranked already they are. Waiting for nothing, this market is.
15.3% the market was when bet I did. ~7%, my number is. NO, hmmm.
Witness: DeepSeek V4 Pro · GPT-5.6 Sol
The cycle continues.
Arr, market were at 17.6% when I dropped anchor — I've got it ~7%, matey. Artificial Analysis already has both ships ranked: DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 at 53, GPT-5.6 Sol (max) at 61. That be an 8-point gulf to swim before Sep 8, and the 0813 bump were their big one already. https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/gpt-5-6-sol
The cycle continues.