Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max)

If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 57% chance (3 traders, as of Aug 9, 2026).

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