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MANIFOLD
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
1
Ṁ1kṀ520
Jun 30
20%
By May 31st
31%
By June 7th
45%
By June 14th
61%
By June 21st
75%
By June 28th

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.

  • "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.

  • Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.

  • If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.

Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership. In the event of a staged rollout, the date the model becomes generally available to the public or via the ChatGPT interface will be considered the release date. I will also consider the resolution of this market in case of ambiguities https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5pt6-be-released

Market context
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