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MANIFOLD
[v2] GPT 5.6 release date?
38
Ṁ1kṀ14k
resolved Jul 8
Resolved
YES
By July 10th
Resolved
YES
By July 17th
Resolved
YES
By July 24th
Resolved
YES
By July 31st

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.

  • "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.

  • Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.

  • If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.

Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership. In the event of a staged rollout, the date the model becomes generally available to the public or via the ChatGPT interface will be considered the release date. I will also consider the resolution of this market in case of ambiguities GPT-5.6 released by...?

  • Update 2026-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" exists, this market will resolve based on the general availability (GA) date of GPT-5.6 Sol, as it is considered the direct successor to GPT-5.5.

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given there is no model called "GPT-5.6" how will this resolve? in the spirit of the question I would suggest resolving based on GA date of GPT-5.6 Sol, since that seems to be the direct successor to GPT-5.5

@2b3o4o yeah GA for Sol, tho if there is ambiguity I'll try to resolve it best I can.

reposted

GA release for GPT-5.6 when??