Grokipedia v1 before Dec 15?
3
1kṀ1139Dec 16
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES if Grokipedia v1 (aka 1.0/GA) is publicly released (general access, no waitlist/invite) on or before Dec 15, 2025, 23:59 PT, evidenced by any of:
Official posts from @xai or @elonmusk;
Pages/posts on grokipedia.com, xai.com, or grok.com;
grokipedia.com v1 live and publicly usable.
NO otherwise.
Notes: Closed alpha/beta, waitlists, teasers, or press/rumors don’t count. A different name only counts if official channels say it is Grokipedia.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Google recognize "Grokipedia" before November?
51% chance
Grokipedia props
What will be true about Grokipedia upon full release?
English articles on Grokipedia by end of 2025?
1.3m
Will Grokipedia surpass Wikipedia in Google Trends within 48 hours of launch?
5% chance
Grokipedia released by ...? [Polymarket]
Will manifold.markets have its own Grokipedia article by EOY2026?
68% chance
Grok 5 released before March 31?
78% chance