This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI publicly announces the release of a model explicitly named GPT-5 during the calendar month of August 2025 (from 12:00 AM PT on August 1 to 11:59 PM PT on August 31, 2025).

A release is defined as:

• A public launch or general availability announcement of a model explicitly named GPT-5 by OpenAI.

• Availability of the model via API, ChatGPT, or any other official OpenAI product or platform.

If a model is released before August 1, 2025, or after August 31, 2025, the market will resolve to “No”, even if the model remains available during August.

If OpenAI releases a model under a different name (e.g., GPT-4.5, GPT-Next, or any unnamed model), this market will not resolve to “Yes” unless the model is clearly and officially identified by OpenAI as GPT-5.

Previews, demos, leaks, research papers, or internal/private access without an official public release do not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be OpenAI’s official blog, press releases, or verified social media accounts. If needed, a consensus of credible reporting from major news or technology media may be used for confirmation.

If no qualifying release is announced during August 2025, the market will resolve to “No”.