This resolves YES if a binding acquisition agreement for the company is publicly announced by Dec 31, 2026 — even if the deal never closes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that a binding agreement to acquire the listed company is announced on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
A qualifying acquisition includes:
A definitive merger agreement
A stock or asset purchase agreement
A take-private transaction
Any transaction in which the listed company is subsumed into another entity, loses independent control, or ceases to exist as a standalone company
The transaction does not need to close for the market to resolve to “Yes”.
This market will resolve to “No” if no such agreement is announced by the resolution time.
Explicit Clarifications
Non-binding talks, rumors, expressions of interest, term sheets, or exploratory discussions do NOT count
Strategic partnerships, minority investments, joint ventures, or licensing deals do NOT count
Internal restructurings, spin-offs, or reorganizations without an acquiring entity do NOT count
Hostile bids count only if a binding acquisition agreement is publicly announced
Bankruptcy or liquidation without an acquiring entity does NOT count
Resolution Sources
The primary resolution sources will be:
Official announcements or filings from the listed company
Statements from company leadership
Regulatory filings (e.g., SEC or equivalent)
If official confirmation is unavailable, a clear consensus of credible reporting may be used.
2025-11-04: "Yum! Brands Inc. Initiates Review of Strategic Options for Pizza Hut to Maximize Shareholder Value and Help It Reach Its Full Potential"
https://investors.yum.com/news-events/financial-releases/news-details/2025/Yum-Brands-Inc--Initiates-Review-of-Strategic-Options-for-Pizza-Hut-to-Maximize-Shareholder-Value-and-Help-It-Reach-Its-Full-Potential/default.aspx