MANIFOLD
Bitcoin price on December 31?
11
Ṁ1kṀ18k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
$87,000 - $88,999
100%99.1%
$87,000 - $88,999
0.1%
Below $85,000
0.4%
$85,000 - $86,999
0.3%
$89,000 - $90,999
0.1%
$91,000 - $92,000
0.1%
Above $92,000

Source of truth: Coinbase BTC-USD hourly data.

Candle used: The 1-minute candle at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2025.

Equivalent in UTC: Jan 1, 2026, 04:59 UTC

Price used: The “Close” value of that candle

Rounding math:

  • Math.round(105999.49) → 105999

  • Math.round(105999.50) → 106000

Resolution Date Time: Dec 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET

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Date,Close

2025-12-26,86811.97555555556

2025-12-27,86389.21111111112

2025-12-28,85966.44666666667

2025-12-29,85543.68222222223

2025-12-30,85120.91777777778

2025-12-31,84698.15333333334 <<< This is much too simplistic to work :-)

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