Bitcoin $120K by Q1 2025?

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resolved Apr 1

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Resolution Criteria:

The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $120,000 USD at any point before March 31, 2025, at 23:59 PT, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the specified period.

If Bitcoin does not hit $120K by this deadline, the market resolves “No.”

Resolution Date & Time: March 31, 2025, at 23:59 PT, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses $120K before the deadline.

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2 Comments

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@predyx_markets one more for PDT, and 'high' instead of the 'last price' there's quite a few like this, I can comment as I see them but don't want to be too annoying.

@deagol Thanks for your help on this. You're not at all annoying, you're helping us learn how to create a very clear resolution criteria. This helps us with our main markets as well.

Edited the criteria accordingly.

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

🏅 Top traders

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