On October 10, 2024, Rafael Nadal announced his retirement from professional tennis. He will play his final matches as part of Team Spain for the 2024 Davis Cup Final 8, taking place in late November.

For the purposes of this market, I make no distinction between singles and doubles matches. If his final match is a doubles match and he wins, this market resolves YES. If he plays a final match (again, either singles or doubles) and loses, this market resolves NO. If he doesn't end up playing at the Davis Cup, then this market resolves NO, as he lost in both doubles and singles at the Paris Olympics earlier this year.

If he announces he has changed his mind and intends to play more professional matches then this market will be extended. An announcement must occur before this market has a chance to resolve, ie. before his final game of the Davis Cup starts for this market to be extended.