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MANIFOLD
Will I promote to Masters?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ92
Sep 2
74%
chance

resolved at season end

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filled a Ṁ10 NO at 42% order

betting NO. the next person (nearly tied) has their profit almost entirely from trader bonuses which is consistent. the creator has profit almost entirely from trading which may be prone to risk.

@bobalobascrob fair point, could be worth forecasting the next person’s expected trader bonuses

sold Ṁ5 NO

@perfperfperf oops, i just took a look :(