When will Tropical Storm Oscar (2024) form?

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Ṁ1946

resolved Oct 19

100%92%

Oct. 19 - Nov. 2

Nov. 3 - Nov. 16

Nov. 17 - Nov. 30

Never, or December 1 - December 31

Extended forecast question. ~2 week bins. (First bin is 15 days)

Resolves to AST timezone (UTC - 4 hours) per NHC advisories.

The last answer is phrased so this question will definitively resolve by December 1, 2024.

This will count even if it is only a Subtropical Storm as the spirit of the question is whether we will get a named storm.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Tropical Oscar formed today, October 19, 2024.

This is just hours after TS Nadine formed earlier.

Follow up for TS Patty:

As far as I'm concerned this is free mana at this point. lol

Special Message from NHCIssued 19 Oct 2024 14:10 UTC

NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Storm Oscar, located just east of the Turks and Caicos Islands, at 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC).

AL94 chances of a TC has increased in a special advisory to 90%.

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