When will Tropical Storm Lorena form? (EP)
4
1kṀ1728resolved Sep 2
100%29%
September 2
1.0%
September 1
20%
September 3
15%
September 4
9%
September 5
9%
September 6
7%
September 7
9%Other
Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/
Subtropical storm also counts.
Resolves to the UTC time written in the advisory text.
N/A if does not form in 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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WTPZ32 KNHC 021457
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorena Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122025
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
800 AM MST Tue Sep 02 2025
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E BECOMES TROPICAL STORM LORENA...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 107.9W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
Has become TD12
WTPZ32 KNHC 020242
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twelve-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122025
900 PM CST Mon Sep 01 2025
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 105.4W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
tcvitals are there and from the last few fixes looks good for the 11am advisory:
EP, 12, 202509021140, 20, DVTO, I, , 1787N, 10729W, , 3, 35, 2, 1003, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 25, 2, 25, 3, L, 27, -65, -57, CBND, R8, GOES19, ,
EP, 12, 202509021200, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1790N, 10750W, , 2, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , E, TAFB, GR, I, 3, 2525 /////, , , GOES18, CSC, T,
EP, 12, 202509021200, 70, ANAL, , , 1800N, 10730W, , 2, 35, 3, , 3, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , KWBC, GMG, WPC, , , , ,