Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/
Subtropical storm also counts.
Resolves to the UTC time written in the advisory text.
N/A if does not form in 2025.
1,000
NHC TWO:
Central East Pacific: An area of low pressure is expected to form well southwest of southwestern Mexico within the next couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
NHC has an eye on a potential genesis event south of Mexico near where Gil is, but there is also a lower probability potential storm further in the future (~5days from now) further east:
FSU det.:
12Z ensembles with tracks for Gil removed:
