
First Crystal Tier Market in 2024?
20
Ṁ1kṀ24kresolved Jun 7
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES immediately when someone creates a Crystal tier market in 2024 (which currently costs 1 million Mana to make).
Resolves NO if no such market is created before January 1, 2025 (UTC time) or Manifold entirely scraps the tier system for creating questions (minor modifications don't alter the outcome, see below).
Important edge cases:
For the purposes of this market if Manifold alters the tier system prices, any questions created with a tier that has a creation cost of between 500k Mana and 2M Mana, inclusive, will be considered equivalent to the "Crystal tier" market.
Any changes to the tier name will not be considered consequential (only the creation cost).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,673 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,046 | |
| 3 | Ṁ539 | |
| 4 | Ṁ430 | |
| 5 | Ṁ418 |
