Tropical Storm Kirk life-time ACE?
Standard
4
Ṁ7015
Oct 30
0.8%
[0-10)
0.9%
[10-20)
87%
[20-30)
10%
[30-40)
1.8%
[40-999]

What will be the ACE contribution from the storm AL12 (2024) ?

This question will stay open until resolution.

Resolves after it dissipates/post-tropical, extratropical/becomes a disturbance per NHC (i.e a final advisory notice) AND so as long as there is no further mention in the NHC TWO of it's remnants in the following 24 hours .... (if it's possible it can reform it will stay open).

Resolution source for ACE value:

https://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?loc=northatlantic

Note: will rename to market to Kirk if it becomes named.

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Upgraded to basic to attract more bettors...

Not enough bettors... increasing subsidy....

Here is a question ... we are presently at ~ 80 ACE total..

What will be the ACE total ~ 10 days from now? (Total not just from Kirk)

Below or above 100?

Right now the weighted aggregate mean from a superensemble puts us at around 98 ACE around Oct. 11th (+18 ACE)

Looks like that 25 ACE might have been less plausible given it is seems to recurve on track and then off a cliff into lower TCHP on Saturday ....

A future Leslie in 91L shows more promise though

Renamed title to Kirk.