The July high-temperature markets will be resolved tomorrow. Get a jump on the August markets

/ovals/in-san-francisco-on-what-day-will-t-0qdepnfnsm

/ovals/in-chicago-on-what-day-will-the-hig-12g42w2vrh

/ovals/in-austin-on-what-day-will-the-high-6vd3vayo04

/ovals/in-new-york-city-on-what-day-will-t-9ks50ep5y8

Temperature markets continue into August

93F on the 8th is still good

July 8th has taken the lead in NYC

The high temperature on the 2nd still holds the top spot

Already warmer on the second than the first

Covering the north, south, east, and west of the continental USA:

In Chicago, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?

‌In Austin, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?

‌In New York City, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?

‌In San Francisco, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?

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Will ties be resolved to 100% of each winning option? or 100% total, split evenly across all winners?

Also, I don't understand why you're using independent probabilities, rather than forcing them to sum up to 1. Oh well, free money for me I guess.