In Chicago, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?
Basic
16
33k
Jul 31
76%
13th
76%
15th
1.1%
26th
2%
27th
3%
28th
4%
29th
10%
30th
7%
31st

The market closes one minute before midnight on the penultimate day of the month.

The market will be resolved on the first day of the next month with data from https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/chicago/historic

Ties are possible.

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How are ties handled? Right now, the 13th and 15th both had highs of 91, but in the table view for the record high for this month, it just says the 13th. Maybe that is using decimals, and the 13th was hotter. Or would you just say they’re both 91, so they both win?

Seems like everyone prior to @aoeuidhtns assumed same integer = tied, and aoeui assumed otherwise.

Given that the 13th happened first, they might just be taking the first instance rather than tiebreaking based on hidden additional precision.

There is a summary table on the website linked in the description that reports a temperature high which appears to pick the earliest date in the case of ties. I assumed that the table is what would be used rather than manually checking each days numbers since the website was referenced for the resolution.

I have left both 13th and 15th as unresolved as I consider them tied and intend to pay off on both if 91F is not surpassed.

bought Ṁ607 12th NO

91F was hit on the 13th

bought Ṁ607 1st NO

As in all four monthly 'High Temperature' markets the second day of the month was warmer.