Accessible means accessible at the same level that DALL·E 2 is now.
This market resolves at 11:59 pm November 15th Pacific time.
From the OpenAI website:
Edit (2023-09-22): Some clarifications:
If DALL·E 3 is available on labs.openai.com this will resolve YES even if API access is not available to the public.
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@VAPOR see the market creator's clarification below: https://manifold.markets/mattburtell/will-dalle-3-be-accessible-to-the-p#8c1aYYrBvYuPbXCQ3gWJ
@mattburtell could you clarify the resolution criteria? The DALL-E interface on labs.openai.com
doesn't mention a specific version, but the image quality suggests DALL-E 2. Will you take that as meaning DALL-E 3 isn't accessible, or will you could things like Bing and ChatGPT as equally accessible?
@Jacy Yes, if the image quality on labs.openai.com remains the same as it is now, I will take this to mean that DALL-E 3 is not public. In the labs interface, if click the ellipses drop-down and select "Read the announcement," you're directed to the DALL-E 2 announcement.
When OpenAI announced DALL-E 3, the website stated it would be "available via the API and Labs this fall." This market regards that statement.
@mattburtell Oooof. Placed a big bet on the assumption that API access was sufficient, if not necessary, for this to resolve Yes. That this market refers to "available via the API and Labs this fall" was clear, but the edit states that you'd count just Labs, which implied (to me) that you'd also count just API. API access seems more accessible than access only through their Labs frontend.
I guess I'll hold out hope that they'll update Labs by next week 😭
Does it necessarily have to be accessible on labs.openai.com, or does accessibility through GPT-4 count as the same level of accessibility? :D