Will new housing starts average over 1,500 per month in 2024? | Manifold

Will new housing starts average over 1,500 per month in 2024?

3

Ṁ90Ṁ40

Jan 1

59%

chance

1H

6H

1D

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ALL

Resolved according to FRED:

From https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

New housing starts average over 1,500 per month (70%)

Market context

2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions

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I think this resolves NO

Time capsule for comparison against Yglesias:

Are you off by a factor of 1000? https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/current/index.html

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