Will there be a post on the EA Forum with >1000 karma in 2023?
o avatar
O
18
closes Dec 31
12%
chance
Get Ṁ500 play money

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6 Comments
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EliLifland avatar
Eli Lifland

Link in description should be https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/allPosts?timeframe=allTime&sortedBy=top (all time and top, rather than yearly and inflation-adjusted)

All Posts — EA Forum
All of the EA Forum's posts, filtered and sorted however you want
nebelkugel avatar
nebelkugelpredicts NO

Similar market here (but not necessarily identical, depending on the resolution criteria):

WilliamHoward avatar
Will Howard

Note that the "inflation adjusted" calculation doesn't actually change the karma number that is shown to you, just how the list is sorted

1 reply
o avatar
O

@WilliamHoward Thanks, I wasn't aware. I've simplified the market description.

MathiasBonde avatar
Mathias Bonde

If a post on the EA forum made before 2023 reaches 1000 karma, does this market resolve positively?

1 reply
o avatar
O

@MathiasBonde No, but good question: this is exclusively for the 2023 time period.