
Will there be a post on the EA Forum with >1000 karma in 2023?
18
closes Dec 31
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ75 +658.6%
New probability
14% +1.6%
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Link in description should be https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/allPosts?timeframe=allTime&sortedBy=top (all time and top, rather than yearly and inflation-adjusted)

nebelkugelpredicts NO

Note that the "inflation adjusted" calculation doesn't actually change the karma number that is shown to you, just how the list is sorted
1 reply


If a post on the EA forum made before 2023 reaches 1000 karma, does this market resolve positively?
1 reply

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0 YES payouts
Ṁ219
Ṁ18
Ṁ16
Ṁ16
Ṁ15
Ṁ14
0 NO payouts
Ṁ410
Ṁ185
Ṁ128
Ṁ83
Ṁ70
Ṁ33
Ṁ27
Ṁ21
Ṁ20


















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