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MANIFOLD
Will something happen in AI every single week between now and Dec 31st?
7
Ṁ1kṀ1.6k
Dec 31
13%
chance

Follow up to /ZviMowshowitz/will-something-happen-this-week-in

Something happening is hereby defined as Zvi making a dedicated blogpost about said AI-related event, similar to OpenAI's Unreleased Model Astra Solves Ten Major Open Mathematics Problems or Further Developments About Internal AI Models Hacking Things, rather than just mentioning it in the regularly-scheduled AI posts. Something like The Three AI Pills won't count because its not about a specific event.

Each week will resolve to "something happened" if:
1) An AI-related event happened that week
2) Zvi made a dedicated post about said event within 14 days of it happening
So i.e. if something happens on Aug 12th, it's OK if the post about it comes out any time on or before Aug 26th.

Market will resolve based off the spirit of the stated criteria, various technicalities won't count. The intent is to see whether we're about to approach a "singularity of AI news" where something keeps happening every single week.

The market will start from the week of Aug 9th.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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