Barron Trump turned 18 in March 2024 and was recently selected as a Florida delegate to the Republican National Convention, marking his first official political involvement. This market resolves YES if Barron Trump publicly announces his intention to run for any political office (at any level of government) before June 1, 2025. This includes exploratory committees, formal announcements, or filing paperwork to run. The market resolves NO if he makes no such announcement by this date.

Sources:

• PBS News on Barron's RNC delegate role

  Background

  Barron Trump, the youngest son of former President Donald Trump, turned 18 in March 2024. He recently made his first formal political appearance as a Florida delegate to the 2024 Republican National Convention. While he has largely stayed out of the public eye during his father's presidency and campaigns, his selection as a delegate marked his first official involvement in politics.

  According to reports, Barron has played an advisory role in his father's 2024 presidential campaign, particularly helping Donald Trump connect with younger voters. Some conservative commentators have highlighted him as a potential future figure in the conservative movement, though Barron himself has not made any public statements about personal political ambitions.

  Resolution Criteria

  This market resolves YES if, before June 1, 2025, Barron Trump publicly announces his intention to run for any political office at any level of government (local, state, or federal). Qualifying announcements include:

  • Formal public declarations of candidacy

  • Formation of exploratory committees

  • Filing official paperwork to run for office

  • Any other clear public statement of intent to seek elected office

  The market resolves NO if by June 1, 2025:

  • Barron makes no such announcement

  • He only expresses general interest without a specific commitment

  • He only takes on advisory or supportive roles in politics without declaring candidacy

  Considerations

  At 18 years old, Barron would be eligible for some local offices, but would not meet age requirements for many higher offices (such as U.S. Representative at 25, Senator at 30, or President at 35). Any announcement would likely be for a position he would be legally eligible to hold.