I believe that in less than two years we will know who Satoshi is.

Tyler Cowen (2024), https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/10/does-it-matter-who-satoshi-was.html

What matters is the state of affairs when this market closes. I have entered the close date as 2026-10-24 and will not change it.

I will use my judgement to decide whether “we” know who Satoshi is.

Public information available prior to market close that convinces me is sufficient.

I may at my discretion take into consideration non‐public evidence I receive prior to market close. However, the purported identification itself must be public.

If the market resolves YES, I will state whom I believe to be Satoshi.

I will not bet on this market.