What will be the outcome of Annie Altman’s lawsuit against Sam Altman? (Altman v. Altman)
13
1kṀ17202030
6%
Judgment in favor of plaintiff
15%
Judgment in favor of defendant
68%
Dismissal
11%
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QDczBduZorG4dxZiW/sam-altman-s-sister-annie-altman-claims-sam-has-severely
https://x.com/sama/status/1876780763653263770
https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69520118/altman-v-altman/
My understanding is that the three options I have added cover all possible outcomes; I will add more if and only if I learn that this is not the case.
Update 2025-08-01 (PST): - Settlement out of court will be considered as dismissal in determining the outcome. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
In 2026, will Manifold think that Sam Altman abused Annie Altman?
25% chance
Will Sam Altman win a defamation case against Gary Marcus before 2030?
19% chance
Will there be another major Sam Altman controversy?
79% chance
Will Sam Altman ever be replaced by someone named "Sam Mainman"?
5% chance
Will Sam Altman be killed by AI?
16% chance
Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027?
8% chance
Who is Sam Altman's alt on x.com?
Will Sam Altman be the new Sam Bankman-Fried? ⁉️
11% chance
Will Nathan Cheng outlive Sam Altman?
50% chance
How will the lawsuit accusing Anna’s Archive of hacking WorldCat end?