This market resolves YES if credible reporting on GPT-4's parameter count is available by 11:59 PM EST on June 30, 2023. Credible reporting must be corroborated by OpenAI, and a reported point parameter count must have at least 1 significant digit.

A numerical range (low, high) where mid = (low + high)/2 is sufficient iff low >= 0.75 * mid and high <= 1.25 * mid. For example, (100M, 200M) does not qualify because a range with a midpoint of 150M must be at least as tight as (112.5M, 187.5M).

This market will resolve YES immediately after the above conditions are met. If they are not met at any point by the expiration date, this market resolves NO.

6/20 notice in response to leaks of GPT-4 being a 220B x 8 MoE model or 1.2T:

I previously purchased 1 M$ of YES and just sold for 26 M$. This is NOT an indication of whether I think these leaks are legitimate; I sold to eliminate any conflict of interest in case resolution becomes hotly contested.

I will not make any more trades in this market.