This market predicts whether the U.S. will adopt a residence-based taxation system for Americans living abroad by the end of 2028. Resolution will be based on official legislation or IRS announcements confirming the implementation.
References:
https://www.taxfairnessabroad.org/blog/2026-the-year-to-end-the-double-taxation-of-americans-abroadnbsp
"We expect Rep. LaHood and Sen. Young to complete their technical work, update their companion bills, and reintroduce them in the House and Senate as fast as they can. While the bill is being fine-tuned, we continue our efforts to get the bill on the front burner for the two key Congressional tax committees – the House Ways and Means Committee and the Senate Finance Committee – and ultimately to identify any legislative package in which the bill could be included."
I didn't see that question... I created mine ending 2y later and with more defined criteria: https://manifold.markets/adssx/us-ends-citizenshipbased-taxation-b