Who will be Donald Trump’s Secretary of Labor?
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0.4%
Patrick Pizzella
0.4%
Bryan Slater
99%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
0.2%
Resolves 100% to the person who is nominated by Donald Trump in his second term, and is confirmed by the United States Senate, for the office of Secretary of Labor. Initial candidates are chosen from the Politico list of likely nominees but additional candidates may be added.
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Added nominee Chavez-DeRemer; I guess probability should reflect probability of confirmation? Related markets, first Chavez-DeRemer and nominees for other cabinet posts each listed.
Others are about how many nominees will fail (Chavez-DeRemer could factor in given a somewhat controversial nominee, though not nearly as controversial as some others).