🗳️Post-election campaign dirt ☕️ prop bets (ADD RESPONSES)
➕
Plus
18
Ṁ1401
Jan 1
60%
The Harris campaign had major internal battles over how much to distance her from Biden
56%
Harris picked Walz over Shapiro to avoid antagonizing the anti-Zionist wing of the Democratic Party
43%
A Trump loss is blamed on Vance’s personal unpopularity
41%
A Harris loss is blamed on the sexism of specifically young American men

After an election, stories often break about why and how the campaigns made the choices they did. This is particularly common for the losing campaign. (Think of the stories about Clinton’s strategy in Wisconsin and Michigan in 2016.)

Bets here resolve YES if a story confirming them breaks by the end of 2024. Stories must be reported by a reliable media outlet or posted on social media by a person actually involved — no unsourced anonymous Twitter posts.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Trump
#Kamala Harris
#Democratic Party
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
4 Comments
18 Holders
32 Trades
Sort by:

Will the options referencing a specific candidate losing resolve NA if they don’t lose?

@Arky They’ll resolve no.

@njmkw Thanks, also for the X loss is blamed on Y ones, does someone from the campaign have to do the blaming?

@Arky Yes, the story needs to be “X campaign person says X lost because Y” not just some op-ed making that argument.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules