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MANIFOLD
Will Neel Nanda quit Google DeepMind before 31 May 2027?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ15
2027
59%
chance

If DeepMind falls behind even more, it will make more sense to move to OpenAI/Anthropic or to a third party like METR (given how many DeepMind/Anthropic people left to join METR)

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METR's great, you don't have to do anything particularly difficult & you make a ton of money lying to everyone