Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a moderator resolves the specified event or question. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The determination will be based on official actions taken by the moderator, as documented on the relevant platform or forum.

Background

On platforms like Manifold Markets, market creators are typically responsible for resolving their own markets. However, moderators may intervene to resolve markets under certain circumstances, such as when the creator is inactive or when unambiguous resolution criteria have been met. (manifoldmarkets.notion.site)

Considerations

• Moderator intervention is generally reserved for specific situations, including creator inactivity or clear fulfillment of resolution criteria.

• The timing and conditions under which a moderator may resolve a market can vary depending on platform policies and the specifics of the situation.

  Resolution criteria

  This market will resolve to "Yes" if a moderator resolves the specified event or question within one year from the market's creation date. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The determination will be based on official actions taken by the moderator, as documented on the relevant platform or forum.

  Background

  On platforms like Manifold Markets, market creators are typically responsible for resolving their own markets. However, moderators may intervene to resolve markets under certain circumstances, such as when the creator is inactive or when unambiguous resolution criteria have been met. (manifoldmarkets.notion.site)

  Considerations

  • Moderator intervention is generally reserved for specific situations, including creator inactivity or clear fulfillment of resolution criteria.

  • The timing and conditions under which a moderator may resolve a market can vary depending on platform policies and the specifics of the situation.

    Resolution criteria

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Manifold moderator resolves the specified question within one year from the market's creation date. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The determination will be based on official actions taken by the moderator, as documented on the relevant platform or forum.

    Background

    On Manifold Markets, market creators are typically responsible for resolving their own markets. However, moderators may intervene to resolve markets under certain circumstances, such as when the creator is inactive or when unambiguous resolution criteria have been met. (manifoldmarkets.notion.site)

    Considerations

    • Moderator intervention is generally reserved for specific situations, including creator inactivity or clear fulfillment of resolution criteria.

    • The timing and conditions under which a moderator may resolve a market can vary depending on platform policies and the specifics of the situation.

• Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that they will never resolve this market to YES. The only way for this market to resolve to YES is if a moderator resolves it. Otherwise, the creator will resolve it to NO.