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Will GME reach $25 before the end of 2026?
7
Ṁ1kṀ26k
Dec 31
94%
chance
4

GameStop stock price is at $20.66 on January 6th 2026. Will it go past $25 by end of 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if GME closes at or above $25 at any point on or before December 31, 2026. Resolution will be verified using closing prices from Yahoo Finance or NASDAQ. The market resolves NO if GME never reaches $25 by end of year.

Background

GME closed at $20.66 on January 6, 2026, requiring approximately a 21% gain to reach $25. Over the past 52 weeks, GameStop stock has traded between a high of $35.81 and a low of $19.93, indicating the $25 target is within recent trading range. The consensus analyst price target is $13.50, suggesting significant skepticism from Wall Street.

GameStop's Board granted a performance-based stock option award to CEO Ryan Cohen designed to incentivize extraordinary growth. For the award to fully vest, the company's market capitalization would have to grow to $100 billion and achieve $10 billion in cumulative performance EBITDA. Q3 2025 revenue was $821 million, down 4.6% year-over-year.

Considerations

GameStop is currently down nearly 40% versus its 52-week high. The stock remains highly volatile and subject to retail investor sentiment. Wells Fargo recently forecast that markets will see a meme stock rally in 2026, which could provide upside catalysts independent of fundamental business performance.

Market context
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@mods The market creator falsely resolved this market in their favour, citing the intraday price of the stock rather than the closing price as specified in the market description. It reached $25.01 intraday on Jan. 26th but closed at $24.01, and has trended downward since then (currently $23.64). Please change the resolution to N/A or un-resolve at your discretion. Since the market creator doesn't seem to want to play fair and ignored me after I pointed out the error, my preference is N/A.

@navitron32 It's getting closer but you've resolved this rather prematurely. It closed at $24.01 today, not $25.01. Please ask @ mods to un-resolve it for you until the actual resolution criteria are met.

@xjp the question was "Will GME reach $25 before the end of 2026?" I don't know why the ai changed the description. Will check.

@navitron32 The AI didn't change anything, it generated a description for you when you created the market and you accepted it. So those are the rules of the market. Perhaps your intent was to base it on intraday price, but it's the actual stated criteria that matter not your intent. Please ask mods to un-resolve for now.

@navitron32 Unresolved and reopened. The AI did all the work writing the market for you, but in my estimation that makes you more beholden to the rules, not less. "Spirit of the market" arguments only apply to crafted markets.

@Stralor Thanks 🙏

@navitron32 I appreciate that you're taking this with grace, even though I came in harsh. Thanks for that.

bought Ṁ7,500 YES

The price of GME was $25.01 on Jan 26.

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