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MANIFOLD
Will Sakee (皇昶枢 MULA SAKEE) and Asen (艾志恒) reconcile or collaborate again before the end of 2027?
1
Ṁ1kṀ50
2027
52%
chance

This market asks whether, before 23:59 on December 31, 2027 (CST, UTC+8), either of the following happens between Sakee (皇昶枢 MULA SAKEE) and Asen (艾志恒), both Chinese rappers.

Resolves YES if any of the following occurs:

  1. Public reconciliation: Either party explicitly states, on an official account (Weibo, Douyin, Xiaohongshu, Instagram, NetEase Cloud Music artist posts, etc.) or in a public interview or livestream, that they have reconciled, resolved their conflict, or restored their relationship.

  2. New collaboration release: After this market is created, the two officially release a new song with both credited (feat., joint credit, remix, or re-recorded version), verifiable on a major streaming platform (NetEase Cloud Music, QQ Music, Spotify, Apple Music, etc.).

  3. Joint performance: They perform together on stage at a show, program, or event, supported by credible media coverage or official video.

Does NOT count:

  • Collaborations released before this market was created (e.g., “THE COLDEST”).

  • Fans, commenters, marketing accounts, or third parties interpreting events as reconciliation without an explicit statement from either party.

  • Merely appearing in the same frame, liking each other’s posts, or following each other, with no reconciliation statement, collaboration release, or joint performance.

  • Unverified rumors, screenshots, or anonymous leaks.

  • Re-uploads, re-releases, or rights transfers of older works.

Resolves NO if no qualifying public evidence appears by the deadline.

Sources: Official accounts of the artists or their labels and streaming-platform credits, supplemented by credible media reports. If sources conflict, the most direct primary source prevails, and the creator makes the final call.

Other notes:

  • If a qualifying event occurs, the market resolves YES even if they fall out again afterward.

  • If the outcome cannot be verified or determined, the creator may resolve N/A.

本市场预测:在 2027 年 12 月 31 日 23:59(CST,UTC+8) 前,皇昶枢(MULA SAKEE,简称 Sakee)与艾志恒(Asen)是否出现下列任一情形。

判定为 YES,满足任一即可:

  1. 公开和解: 任意一方在官方账号(微博、抖音、小红书、Instagram、网易云音乐歌手动态等)或公开访谈、直播中,明确表示两人已和好、矛盾已解决或关系恢复。

  2. 新合作作品: 本市场创建之后,双方以共同署名的方式正式发行新歌曲(包括 feat.、联合署名、remix 或重新录制版本),并能在主流音乐平台(网易云音乐、QQ 音乐、Spotify、Apple Music 等)查到双方同时署名。

  3. 同台合作: 双方在演出、节目或活动中共同登台并合作表演,且有可靠媒体报道或官方视频记录。

不算 YES 的情况:

  • 本市场创建之前已发行的合作作品(如《THE COLDEST》)不计入。

  • 仅由粉丝、评论区、营销号或第三方解读为"和好",本人没有明确表态。

  • 仅同框出现、互相点赞或互关,但没有和解表态,也没有合作作品或合作演出。

  • 未经证实的传闻、截图或匿名爆料。

  • 旧作品的重新上架、重新发行或版权转移,不算新合作。

判定为 NO: 截止时间前没有出现满足上述任一 YES 条件的公开证据。

判定来源: 以双方本人或所属厂牌的官方账号、音乐平台署名信息为准,辅以可靠媒体报道。来源冲突时,以最直接的一手来源为准,由创建者裁定。

其他说明:

  • 一旦出现符合条件的事件,即使后来双方再次决裂,仍判定为 YES。

  • 如果无法查证或无法判断,创建者可判定为 N/A。

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