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MANIFOLD
Will my first date with my crush lead to a second date?
11
Ṁ90Ṁ194
resolved Jan 13
Resolved
YES

I met a girl through a mutual friend a few months ago, and we had very good chemistry from the first time meeting. We have seen each other a number of times since for various group hangouts and events. The last time we saw each other we decided to set up a date, which was happening Nov 18th, but we had to reschedule and is now TBD.

Her idea was to visit the butterfly conservatory near my place, which is a hella cute lesbian date idea. Also she really likes butterflies.

We have incredibly good sexual chemistry, and have had sex nearly every time we've seen each other including the first time. Each time has been in a group setting, but I don't expect our energy towards each other to be much different when alone.

We have a handful of common interests but are both relatively quiet, which is part of the motivation for going on a 1-on-1 date, to spend time getting to know each other without having to keep conversation to group-friendly topics.

Some other factors to consider:

We live about 1-1.5 hours away from each other, and she works a depressing number of hours, so has very little free time. However, we both drive.

She was in a brief 1 month long relationship with the friend who introduced us, who I am also involved with. Things seem a little complicated between them, but it seems like they are slowly moving towards resolving things with each other. Neither has issues with me seeing the other.

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predictedYES

Update: Setting April 1st as the cutoff for this market, this will resolve NO if we haven't been on another date by then.

predictedYES

First date finally happened, it went really well! Unfortunately it had to be rescheduled initially due to sickness, so we won't have a second one until at least January. In hindsight, I should have put a well defined time limit on this market to make it more interesting.

@ms_daydream Does it resolve NO if there’s no second date at end of Jan? Or would it have to be a longer period of time

predictedYES

@Conflux idk i feel like that would entirely change people's bets, i just have an arbitrary time limit on it for now. alternatively, i could resolve this N/A right now cause this is in fact a bad question i made in a rush to use my free questions.

@ms_daydream Thanks for the answer! I think it’s mostly fine either way. Probably what I’d do is set a longer time limit, like April or something, or some other clear criteria for when it would be possible for this market to resolve NO - I think uncertainty over that is the main thing that would cause a distortion.

predictedYES

@Conflux Hmm good point, that is sufficiently far that it would be safe to say we'd lost any momentum. I'll put Apr 1st as a hard cutoff. Thanks!