Will I publish a post every day of November?
21
1kṀ15k
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
YES

I’m doing Inkhaven. If I don’t publish a post every day of November, I get kicked out.

Only posts with >500 words count.

I won’t be trading on this market.

  • Update 2025-11-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on whether a post was made each day, not whether the Inkhaven form was submitted each day. A technical delay in form submission does not affect resolution as long as the actual post was published on the correct day.

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Congrats!

30/30 huh

bought Ṁ1 NO

Still no post yet with less than an hour to go, hmmm...

the post will probably happen but I can't turn down 50:1 odds

99.2% is a lot btw you all. There might be some shenanigans happening on the last day. (Not investment advice)

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

@ms 🧐

sold Ṁ82 NO

@ms nah it's just because I tanked the market, DJT captured everything I stole, and then I sold

Last post today! Give me ideas on what it should be about!

@ms Prediction markets decide the post-AGI world

Wow, drama!

On nov 27, I submitted the form at 00:00 of nov 28, but made the post at 23:59 on nov 27. (The delay was on a member of the Inkhaven team, not on me, though!); this lead to the Inkhaven website displaying two posts on Nov 28 and zero on Nov 27 for a while, though this was later fixed.

@ms So does it count as you posted every day? I assume yes but just clarifying

@notrealDonaldTrump yep, because I posted every day, even if I technically didn’t fill out the form every day.

bought Ṁ2,000 NO

No post in the past two days? Or is there another spot you post to?

@Stralor Ah OK, I see one on LessWrong on Nov 28, but still nothing yesterday on Substack/ LessWrong/ Twitter

bought Ṁ7,000 YES

@Stralor https://mikhailsamin.substack.com/p/a-short-guide-for-an-evil-ai-company?r=2n5oo4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true

@notrealDonaldTrump @Stralor

Inkhaven counted this as his November 29 post

Post #10: https://mikhailsamin.substack.com/11pm

(this one was written in half an hour and posted at 11pm)

Post #9: https://x.com/mihonarium/status/1987763585389572103?s=46

Post #8: https://open.substack.com/pub/mikhailsamin/p/unicorns

Post #7: https://open.substack.com/pub/mikhailsamin/p/what-decision-theory-is-for

Post #6: https://mikhailsamin.substack.com/publish/posts/detail/178251413

Post #5: https://mikhailsamin.substack.com/p/the-equation

Post #4: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QoMwFosibKffC4vxA/how-to-talk-to-people-about-ai-threat

Post #3: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SyriTxuHAdt7rBFnf/on-tasting-things

Btw Yes holders should give me post ideas

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