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MANIFOLD
Will I freeze 🄶 in Warsaw?
32
į¹€100į¹€962
resolved Feb 3
Resolved
NO

I’ll be visiting Warsaw on February 2 for one day. The weather forecast suggests the temperature there is going to be -17*C to -10*C.

Will I subjectively feel like I’m frozen at any point?

London weather is cold enough that I occasionally feel this way if I spend enough time outside, despite very rarely crossing 0*.

I have a coat and gloves but I don’t expect them to sufficiently help. I’ll fly there with a backpack only, so wearing too many layers might be complicated (and I don’t have many things to wear this way).

Advice is welcome.

(I will resolve the market subjectively and might resolve it to a %.)

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It is technically possible that I will have to spend more time at -20 outside while boarding the plane, but unlikely

Okay they’re selling m-dollars for 25 m-cents?

Fairly unlikely to resolve to Yes at this point! It’s -17 outside but I’m not sure I’d spend much time outside again. I think I’ve not been outside for even half an hour continuously, have been mostly ubering (bolting) between places.

@ms did you mean to say yes here?

@Magnify oops, yep

@ms let it be known I never doubted your cold temperature preparation

I’m fully warm again. Not frozen yet. It’s -15 outside

Fingers almost got frozen; I found a cafe and stopped to warm up. Also figured out I can have two layers of gloves. (The heated ones don’t help enough.)

@ms I can still use my phone through the two layers of gloves!

a few minutes in, I’m fine

-14 to -21

Updated forecast: -12 to -18 *C (10 to 0 *F)

updated weather forecast: -14*C to -26*C

I realized I have two pairs of electrically heated gloves

okay, bounty: m$200 for a link to a winter hat that I’ll buy

It gets to -15°C there in the winters, it has got to -30°C but years ago, legitimately dangerous and worth researching and bringing adequate kit. Also helps avoid the embarrassment of needing rescuing.

When you feel frozen in London, is that only when standing/sitting fairly still, or even when doing heavy exertion (e.g. speed walking)? Do you expect to find yourself standing/sitting fairly still for more than a few minutes while outdoors in Warsaw?

@TheAllMemeingEye if it’s really cold and i speed walk for a while, I’d still be frozen.

I don’t think I’ll be still while outside much.

okay I dislike the odds

bought į¹€10 YES

@ms what odds did you expect?

are you going to change your behavior based on this such as bring more layers or plan to be outside less?

@SpeaksForTrees i will only have a backpack so more layers might be tricky

A friend told me I should buy a single baselayer thing which I might do

@SpeaksForTrees (also if I sufficiently dislike the odds they make me change behavior, yep)