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MANIFOLD
before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ225
2034
9%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if any individual delivers a speech at least partially in the Toki Pona language during an official United Nations session, assembly, or conference before January 1, 2035. For the purposes of this market, a "speech" is defined as a formal oral address delivered to a UN body. A part of the speech must be identifiable as Toki Pona by linguistics experts or through official UN transcripts/records. If no such speech occurs by the deadline, or if the language used is determined to be a different constructed language, the market resolves to NO.

Background

Toki Pona is a constructed language (conlang) created by Canadian linguist Sonja Lang, first published in 2001. It is designed around the philosophy of Taoism, emphasizing simplicity, minimalism, and a small vocabulary of approximately 120–137 root words. While it has a dedicated online community and has been used in various artistic and informal contexts, it has no official status as a working language of the United Nations, which recognizes six official languages (Arabic, Chinese, English, French, Russian, and Spanish).

  • Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Any length of Toki Pona counts, as long as it is actually spoken in Toki Pona. Merely referencing the name of the language (e.g. saying "toki pona") does not count.

Market context
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just a part of the speech? Could you elaborate on how long the part should be?

@ian any length counts, as long as it is actually in toki pona. (Just referencing the name of the language doesn’t count, even though “toki pona” is in toki pona).