See for details:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nwjTPtbvcJeA6xDuu/dominant-assurance-contract-experiment-2-berkeley-house

Dominant Assurance Contract Experiment #2: Berkeley House Dinners — LessWrong

As an afterthought at the end of my previous post on dominant assurance contracts, I decided on a whim as I was typing to append a small dominant assurance contract: …

• Will resolve YES if Arjun receives $700 by noon Pacific time on July 15.

• Resolves NO if Arjun receives less than $700 by the deadline.

Arjun's previous attempt failed https://manifold.markets/ArjunPanickssery/will-arjuns-dominant-assurance-cont

I will not bet in this market since I spoke to Arjun so I have insider info.