MANIFOLD
In the 2024 South African General Elections, what percentage of seats in the National Assembly will each party get?
5
Ṁ385Ṁ156
resolved Jun 4
40%44%
ANC
22%22%
DA
14%8%
MK
10%9%
EFF
6%4%Other
4%4%
IFP
2%3%
ActionSA
2%3%
VF+
1%3%
ACDP

Example of how the market resolves

There are 400 seats in the national assembly. If the ANC as 230 seats and the DA gets 84 then the ANC resolves to 230/400=57.5% and the DA resolves to 84/400=21%.

There is a fairly comprehensive list of polls on wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_South_African_general_election#Opinion_polls

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