Will my ephemeral tattoo disappear within 3 years? | Manifold

Will my ephemeral tattoo disappear within 3 years?

Basic

4

Ṁ125

2026

55%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Followup to:

https://manifold.markets/miscatulated/will-i-agree-ephemeral-tattoos-work

If my tattoo is still visible after February 2026: Evaluates to NO

Otherwise: Evaluates to YES

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https://ephemeral.tattoo/faq states that "70% of Ephemerals will fade in under 2 years."

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