[Metaculus] Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024?
54
709
930
resolved Feb 26
Resolved
YES

Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, before March 1, 2024, the National Assembly of Hungary has ratified Sweden's accession to NATO. Resolution will be determined according to reporting by credible sources.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ424
2Ṁ323
3Ṁ164
4Ṁ138
5Ṁ129
Sort by:

Happy to have been to pessimistic

https://www.dw.com/en/hungarian-parliament-votes-in-favor-of-sweden-joining-nato/a-68372497
from another user "After parliament vote, speaker has 5 days to send to president and president has 5 days to sign then Sweden has to be sure this has happened before requesting membership."
so Hungary has approved but the timeline might be tight for this market
@jskf

@shankypanky Metaculus fine print states

Note that presidential ratification by Hungary of Sweden's accession is not required for this question, only approval by the Hungarian National Assembly is required.

sold Ṁ276 YES

If my Hungarian didn't quite betray me, the National assembly just voted Yes on the matter.