[Metaculus] Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?
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183
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2025
4%
chance

Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve Yes if, before January 1, 2025, any of the following occurs:

  1. Reputable news sources report that the Internet Archive has been shut down in its entirety.

  2. The archive.org website is replaced with an official message by the Internet Archive stating that it is permanently and completely discontinued.

  3. The archive.org website is replaced with an official message by law enforcement indicating that the domain has been seized.

  4. The archive.org domain is inaccessible to all users for more than 72 consecutive hours.

This question will NOT resolve "yes" if only some functionality of the Internet Archive (e.g., digital lending) is removed, but other functions of the site (such as the public domain archive or the Wayback Machine) remain operational

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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