Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, before November 1, 2023, at least two of the internationally recognized media sources listed below publish reports that unequivocally state that a large-scale Israeli ground offensive into Gaza has begun. Operations characterized as raids will generally not qualify.
This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.
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@Bruce54df you should read the discussion on metaculus. This might be one of those markets where resolution depends on what the meaning of the word "is" is.
@AlQuinn Yeah, given that Metaculus is at 80% and there does not seem to be consensus for resolving YES in the comments, I don't feel comfortable resolving this one early.