Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve Yes if the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports Israeli military operations on its map at any of six locations surrounding Rafah (the specific locations are shown in the map embedded below) before June 1, 2024.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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There are some Twitter reports that Israel is attacking the former Gaza International Airport:
https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1787589307215024632
It's located just outside the perimeter for this question: https://www.google.com/maps/place/31%C2%B014'47.0%22N+34%C2%B016'34.0%22E/@31.2511359,34.2331159,12.75z/data=!4m4!3m3!8m2!3d31.2463889!4d34.2761111?entry=ttu