Will Israel carry out a deadly attack responsible for at least 5 deaths within Iran before May 1, 2024? [Metaculus]
Standard
182
Ṁ68k
resolved May 2
Resolved
NO

Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves Yes if, following the date of this question's publication and before May 1, 2024, credible reports indicate that an attack attributed to Israel and occurring within Iran's borders has led to the death of at least five individuals.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

what is considered a "deadly attack"?

This bet is not well-defined. It is too open to personal interpertation.

@6d0e for these markets, you can click on metaculus for clarification

this one says

This question resolves Yes if, following the date of this question's publication and before May 1, 2024, credible reports indicate that an attack attributed to Israel and occurring within Iran's borders has led to the death of at least five individuals.


@SemioticRivalry Oh, thanks.

Comment hidden