Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves Yes if, following the date of this question's publication and before May 1, 2024, credible reports indicate that an attack attributed to Israel and occurring within Iran's borders has led to the death of at least five individuals.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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this one says
This question resolves Yes if, following the date of this question's publication and before May 1, 2024, credible reports indicate that an attack attributed to Israel and occurring within Iran's borders has led to the death of at least five individuals.