Will Iran carry out an attack which leads to the death of at least 5 people within Israel before May 1st? [Metaculus]
172
1.6kṀ82k
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO

Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before May 1, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves Yes if, following the date of this question's publication and before May 1, 2024, credible reports indicate that an attack attributed to Iran and occurring within Israel's borders has lead to the death of at least five individuals.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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